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2024-12-14 12:40:46

Antaike: The global nickel industry surplus is expected to narrow, and the nickel price may decline. The Antaike report shows that the nickel price will rise and fall in the first half of 2024, because the supporting cost below is still there. After the price reached a staged low in late July, the whole price showed a pattern of bottoming out and falling resistance, and the upward and downward momentum was not strong. Returning to the fundamentals itself, oversupply and the staged improvement of downstream consumption have limited room for price rise. On the whole, the price of nickel basically fluctuated within a narrow range this year. The highest nickel in Shanghai was 160,000, and the lowest was 119,000, mainly in the range of 120,000-140,000. Looking forward to the next year, it is expected that the upward and downward momentum of nickel price is not strong, and the main contradiction is still on the supply side. In 2025, it is expected that the price difference between products and inside and outside will further converge, and the price center of gravity will move down. It is expected that the nickel will be in the range of 14,500-18,500 US dollars/ton; The range of Shanghai nickel is 120,000-170,000 yuan/ton.The United States announced the 72nd aid plan to Ukraine, Pentagon: The Biden administration has so far promised that the total aid to Ukraine has exceeded $63.5 billion. According to Fox News, the Biden administration announced on the 12th local time that it would provide Ukraine with a new military aid plan of $500 million. In addition, the Biden administration will continue to provide military assistance to Ukraine until its term expires in January 2025. According to the U.S. Department of Defense, so far, the total amount of military aid promised by Biden's government to Ukraine has exceeded $63.5 billion. However, CNN said that before Biden left office, the Pentagon was unlikely to use nearly $7 billion of surplus funds approved by Congress to arm Ukraine, mainly because the military's ability to replenish stocks was limited. (World Wide Web)Hong Kong stocks ushered in the "structural bull" and the future valuation center is expected to rise. Since late September, the policy combination boxing has exceeded expectations, and the Hang Seng Index has taken advantage of the trend. As of the close of December 13th, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 17.15% this year, which is the first time since 2020. In terms of sectors and individual stocks, it is one after another, constantly deducing "structural cattle". Wind's statistics show that since the beginning of this year, a total of 333 stocks have increased by more than 50%, of which 142 stocks have doubled, and Quanzhi International has increased by more than 10 times this year. Eight stocks including Boya Interactive, Wanshun Ruiqiang Group, Zheli Holdings, Honghao International Holdings and Shanghai Qingpu Fire Protection have also increased by more than 5 times. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, Guotai Junan Hong Kong believes that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in 2025, and the valuation center of Hong Kong stocks will continue to improve marginally. Looking ahead, Hong Kong stocks will remain volatile and investors need to pay attention to structural industry opportunities. In its view, the Hong Kong stock market is dominated by "N"-shaped upward volatility, and there are many flexible opportunities in the stage, but we should pay attention to actively looking for structural industry opportunities. (Securities Times)


National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): We need to further strengthen the effective consumption promotion policies and support them with greater efforts. Wu Sa, deputy director of the Institute of Economics of the Macroeconomic Research Institute of the NDRC, said that it should be said that we have accumulated more and more experience in promoting consumption this year, whether it is the stock policy or the package of incremental policies. For example, the "two new" policy and the trade-in policy of consumer goods have greatly promoted the growth of consumption. This economic work conference also clearly pointed out that the effective consumption promotion policy should be further strengthened, and the scope should be expanded, the quality should be improved, and more efforts should be made to support it, which will inevitably bring better efforts to the consumption growth of household appliances, various household appliances and so on next year. In addition, this economic work conference also put forward many new policies to promote consumption, which will also affect the improvement of our consumer market next year, so it will have a greater supporting role for the consumer market next year. (CCTV News)Market News: US President-elect Trump's Middle East envoy met with the Saudi Crown Prince on Wednesday local time. 


Market News: The Chief Veterinary Officer of USDA said that USDA does not expect to complete the necessary steps to resume importing Mexican cattle before the end of the holiday.According to the information released by the National Earthquake Center of the University of Chile, a 6.3-magnitude earthquake occurred in the Maule region of central Chile on the 13th. (Xinhua News Agency)Former Vietnamese president Ruan Chunfu and others were punished. According to a report by the Vietnam News Agency on the 13th, the Viet Cong the Political Bureau of the Central Committee decided to give Ruan Chunfu and Zhang Heping a warning on the same day. Give Zhang Shimei a reprimand. At the same time, it is suggested that the relevant authorities give administrative sanctions to the three people. According to Yuetong News Agency, Ruan Chunfu served as members of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, secretary of the government party Committee and prime minister of the government; Zhang Shimei, once served as members of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam, Secretary of the Central Secretariat and Minister of the Central Democratic Movement Department; Zhang Heping served as members of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee of the Government and Executive Deputy Prime Minister of the Government. During their tenure, the three people violated the provisions of the party and the state on performing their duties, implementing the tasks entrusted to them, and fighting corruption and negativity; Violation of the provisions of party member's behavior ban and responsibility for setting an example; Causing serious consequences, causing bad public opinion and affecting the reputation of the party, the state and the state management organs. (World Wide Web)

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